TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50e6…e838

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Chess, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
China Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.95
Shanghai Rolex Masters: David Goffin vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$21.1
China Open: Eva Lys vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.4
China Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$23.13
China Open: Clara Tauson vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Hangzhou Open: Alexander Bublik vs Yibing Wubacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$36.14
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.63
US Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.71
Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+361.6%+$124.68
All 22 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+2,056.5%+$709.4
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.83
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Levon Aronian win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+753.3%+$248.95
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.37
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+89.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+175.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+176.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+400%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+236.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+236.1%+$28.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alyssa Thomas win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.