UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d40bb266f596d0f5eca3f81246f8a66afe06239a3d19babfd8da31b26e130ef

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ulbergof Ulberg, Reyes
Resolved: Sep 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $347,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $370,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,144 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Reyes	32c	91,405$29,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,133.1	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Ulberg	68c	72,136$49,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,862.25	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Reyes	32c	51,476$16,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,472.44	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+5.1wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Ulberg	68c	47,892$32,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,246.44	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Ulberg	68c	43,776$29,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,008.32	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Reyes	32c	34,974$11,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,248.47	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Ulberg	68c	23,982$16,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,594.21	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ulberg	69c	21,235$14,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,646.52	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Ulberg	68c	17,000$11,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,440	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Reyes	32c	15,148$4,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,894.88	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Ulberg	68c	10,000$6,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Reyes	23c	9,480$2,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,180.3	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Reyes	31c	9,465$2,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,915.51	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Ulberg	67c	9,063$6,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,950.72	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ulberg	67c	8,329$5,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,748.47	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Reyes	30c	6,396$1,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,932.37	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Reyes	32c	6,155$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Reyes	31c	6,060$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880.42	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ulberg	68c	5,973$4,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,911.3	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Reyes	28c	5,394$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.49	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Reyes	33c	5,100$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Reyes	32c	5,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.98	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Ulberg	68c	4,211$2,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.44	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ulberg	66c	4,131$2,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.71	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ulberg	67c	3,884$2,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,281.82	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed Ulberg	68c	3,750$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Ulberg	68c	3,594$2,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150.12	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Reyes	32c	3,499$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.77	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Ulberg	68c	2,500$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Ulberg	70c	2,307$1,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.99	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Ulberg	67c	2,295$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.64	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Reyes	32c	2,205$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.35	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Ulberg	68c	2,005$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Reyes	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ulberg	67c	2,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f16…5546backed Reyes	33c	1,982$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Reyes	31c	1,961$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.76	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ulberg	69c	1,731$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.39	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96c…40e1backed Ulberg	68c	1,501$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Ulberg	66c	1,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.99	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Ulberg	68c	1,499$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.76	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Reyes	35c	1,297$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.35	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-5.0wins	-0.22per pick	43cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Reyes	32c	1,250$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef25…dc22backed Ulberg	68c	1,209$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.95	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Reyes	6c	1,200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde9…20f1backed Ulberg	65c	1,007$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Reyes	31c	969.97$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.69	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Ulberg	69c	962.59$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.02	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Reyes	32c	937.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Ulberg	66c	923.91$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.13	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ulberg	67c	889.22$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.59	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd3…adf8backed Ulberg	68c	869.12$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.12	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Reyes	33c	803.12$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.43	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ulberg	69c	800$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Ulberg	67c	799.95$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.98	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Reyes	33c	750$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Reyes	32c	700$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Reyes	31c	640.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed Reyes	31c	639.81$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.34	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Ulberg	68c	616.54$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.54	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Ulberg	68c	600$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Ulberg	69c	590$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.9	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Ulberg	68c	588.24$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.24	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Ulberg	64c	517.56$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.32	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Ulberg	68c	507.88$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.52	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Ulberg	67c	499.99$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f15…3a7dbacked Reyes	32c	468.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6333…e00bbacked Ulberg	68c	449.97$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.99	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Ulberg	68c	441.18$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.18	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Ulberg	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	355	64.5%229 W · 126 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cf…462ebacked Reyes	33c	422.46$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Ulberg	64c	410.55$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.8	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Ulberg	68c	400$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Reyes	32c	399.94$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.86	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f6f…8a13backed Reyes	33c	369.52$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Ulberg	68c	367.65$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.65	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Ulberg	69c	360.45$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.45	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Ulberg	66c	357.07$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.4	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Reyes	33c	341.97$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.85	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Ulberg	68c	330.1$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.63	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b2…716abacked Reyes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…1bafbacked Reyes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdb…8547backed Reyes	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Reyes	32c	304.79$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.53	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Reyes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3887…8906backed Reyes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…b8e3backed Reyes	33c	302.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Ulberg	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Reyes	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Reyes	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Ulberg	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Reyes	32c	299.98$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.99	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fc…e669backed Ulberg	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ulberg	68c	292.65$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.65	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Reyes	15c	290$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680a…77fdbacked Reyes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Reyes	36c	269.44$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Ulberg	65c	237.22$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.03	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Ulberg	68c	220.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Ulberg	66c	214.63$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesthis page
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueMontague won
UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanCrute won
UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. TaverasJenkins won
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. ThainaraThainara won
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. MagnyMagny won
UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. BedoyaMullarkey won
UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonPericic won
UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. PetroskiRowston won
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. BellatoStirling won
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. MusasaThicknesse won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event