UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14b713480c897778de8799ed31e328ed23b35ab5f3bf4671574aed99dd632e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thainaraof Lookboonmee, Thainara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Lookboonmee | 33c | 45,979$15,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,173.08 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Lookboonmee | 35c | 25,000$8,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,732.25 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Thainara | 67c | 20,985$14,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Thainara | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thainara | 65c | 7,739$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.03 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Thainara | 66c | 7,241$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.84 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thainara | 65c | 5,184$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.55 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thainara | 66c | 3,026$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.25 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Lookboonmee | 33c | 3,000$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.76 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Thainara | 65c | 2,561$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.22 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Thainara | 64c | 2,400$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.98 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thainara | 65c | 2,045$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Thainara | 67c | 1,567$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Thainara | 67c | 1,543$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.28 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Thainara | 66c | 1,528$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lookboonmee | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed Thainara | 69c | 1,455$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Thainara | 68c | 1,378$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Thainara | 67c | 1,235$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lookboonmee | 35c | 1,050$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Thainara | 72c | 1,036$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Lookboonmee | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Thainara | 65c | 930$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Thainara | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thainara | 67c | 801.06$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.35 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Thainara | 67c | 739.46$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Lookboonmee | 31c | 730.88$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Thainara | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lookboonmee | 30c | 613.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Thainara | 65c | 568.86$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…4fe1backed Thainara | 67c | 527$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Thainara | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lookboonmee | 8c | 490$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thainara | 68c | 486$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lookboonmee | 31c | 482$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Thainara | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lookboonmee | 33c | 399.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…186ebacked Thainara | 67c | 397$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lookboonmee | 35c | 341.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Lookboonmee | 8c | 325$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Thainara | 69c | 324.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lookboonmee | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Thainara | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Lookboonmee | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Lookboonmee | 32c | 299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…45bcbacked Lookboonmee | 36c | 291.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Thainara | 65c | 254.58$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Thainara | 67c | 233.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Lookboonmee | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Lookboonmee | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Lookboonmee | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Thainara | 69c | 159.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Thainara | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Lookboonmee | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Thainara | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Thainara | 68c | 103.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Thainara | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Thainara | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Lookboonmee | 37c | 92.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lookboonmee | 21c | 63.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Thainara | 79c | 63.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thainara | 65c | 60.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Thainara | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Lookboonmee | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Thainara | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Lookboonmee | 34c | 43.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Thainara | 65c | 40.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Thainara | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Lookboonmee | 35c | 33.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Thainara | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Thainara | 64c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Thainara | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…c956backed Thainara | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainarathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueMontague won
- UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanCrute won
- UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. TaverasJenkins won
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. MagnyMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. BedoyaMullarkey won
- UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonPericic won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. PetroskiRowston won
- UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. BellatoStirling won
- UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. MusasaThicknesse won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesUlberg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.