TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe936…8944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$7.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$30.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: G2 vs ENCE (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.75
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegionbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs B8backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs ENCEbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
CS: The MongolZ vs Liquidbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$18.64
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. Vitalitybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Tea (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.48
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$10.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$60.14
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.04
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs David Goffinbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
China Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+293.7%+$2,495.24
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$7.55
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$13.42
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Nurmagomedov vs. Hughesbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainarabacked Thainara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$9.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.