NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d3a5cd34e91b2b24640e540abba2d78fe5d2ff7e4f2735fca20a1af5c5bd9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Rangers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $633,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 934 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 182,710$103,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,698.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 144,374$82,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,080.61 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers | 44c | 88,055$38,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,353.14 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rangers | 43c | 40,132$17,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,256.95 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 43c | 30,139$12,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.11 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 43c | 25,708$11,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,054.31 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 44c | 25,285$11,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,125.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Rangers | 42c | 22,360$9,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.15 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 20,265$11,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,713.79 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rangers | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Rangers | 43c | 20,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.9 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Rangers | 43c | 18,000$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.95 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 44c | 17,875$7,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,864.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Rangers | 43c | 11,221$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.03 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 9,575$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.35 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers | 43c | 8,995$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rangers | 42c | 8,353$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 44c | 7,961$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers | 44c | 7,582$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.08 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.96 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 44c | 5,584$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.96 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,583$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,462$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 4,148$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,860$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Rangers | 44c | 3,818$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Rangers | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Rangers | 43c | 3,711$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,663$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.94 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Rangers | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,359$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.85 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,005$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rangers | 43c | 2,970$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.64 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 43c | 2,646$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…5863backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,456$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.14 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…5d93backed Rangers | 44c | 2,230$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Rangers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 5c | 1,985$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,837$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.91 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rangers | 43c | 1,805$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.15 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…241dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,771$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 40c | 1,757$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.7 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers | 43c | 1,700$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rangers | 43c | 1,636$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.46 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…e672backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,606$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed Rangers | 44c | 1,606$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 43c | 1,573$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.29 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,516$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…fe64backed Rangers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Rangers | 44c | 1,462$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,356$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Rangers | 44c | 1,268$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…11e6backed Rangers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…e50abacked Rangers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…f442backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,162$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,146$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.85 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rangers | 44c | 1,001$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3050backed Rangers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…41afbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…5168backed Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,000$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.67 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 5c | 968.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 45c | 966.1$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.75 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 893.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 869.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.63 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 868.42$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…f4e8backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…7c79backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 810.34$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Rangers | 43c | 805.12$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 799.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…cc5fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 790$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…ec21backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 784.48$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rangers | 42c | 774.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.83 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5315…0753backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 748.86$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 43c | 744$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 732.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 41c | 729.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 41c | 700$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 676$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.