TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3306…f442

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.45
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$39.15
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$977.85
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$488.04
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$294.63
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,077.24
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$684.9
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,078
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$93.85
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+100%+$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.07
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.