TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 787 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jackets39c29,173$11,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,377.2910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Avalanche61c28,529$17,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,126.282653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Blue Jackets28c28,309$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,839.9330944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets40c26,017$10,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,385.6436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche72c24,929$17,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,980.0392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Blue Jackets39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.962040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Blue Jackets40c16,595$6,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.0814057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche60c15,535$9,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,209.2930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche66c15,015$9,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.0958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Blue Jackets39c11,000$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,289.9810356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Avalanche61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Avalanche60c9,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6005950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets40c8,995$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.9970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche60c8,051$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Avalanche78c7,904$6,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.759149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche61c6,843$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.981,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…364dbacked Blue Jackets40c5,700$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Avalanche61c5,600$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.042642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jackets40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9819451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets40c4,444$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.591,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Blue Jackets40c4,005$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9a33backed Avalanche61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd690…8b62backed Avalanche61c3,200$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…6a00backed Avalanche61c3,200$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets32c2,443$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.8789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Avalanche60c2,300$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blue Jackets40c2,196$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.4664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Blue Jackets11c2,181$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9129412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605f…d18dbacked Blue Jackets40c2,100$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8423…c479backed Blue Jackets40c2,100$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jackets39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b62…4ea0backed Avalanche60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jackets40c1,900$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ef…7db1backed Blue Jackets40c1,782$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Avalanche60c1,751$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.099250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa874…c46abacked Avalanche61c1,606$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.38560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…7127backed Blue Jackets40c1,606$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930c…c735backed Avalanche61c1,606$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…f489backed Blue Jackets40c1,606$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…c1c3backed Blue Jackets40c1,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blue Jackets39c1,528$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.5487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets16c1,438$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.122,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche66c1,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche74c1,333$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.541,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4c…b571backed Blue Jackets40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Avalanche60c1,257$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6712254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jackets39c1,200$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Blue Jackets39c1,139$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.367149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…8929backed Blue Jackets41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…61b1backed Blue Jackets41c1,037$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Avalanche60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008950.6%45 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0700…241dbacked Avalanche60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Avalanche60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Avalanche60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f2b…5d2fbacked Blue Jackets40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…6a03backed Avalanche79c955.17$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9905…d8a7backed Blue Jackets41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Blue Jackets39c899.98$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.994052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jackets21c853.15$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.888746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche74c841.08$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Avalanche63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Blue Jackets41c756.71$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.255054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8354…b291backed Avalanche60c756.55$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.623655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Blue Jackets40c749.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jackets40c744$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.615448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Blue Jackets42c718.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche60c633$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jackets39c553$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.671,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche60c527$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3306…f442backed Blue Jackets41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9525…e50abacked Avalanche60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Blue Jackets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Blue Jackets40c496.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Avalanche61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche59c458.66$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.112,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2b…aa95backed Avalanche60c428.33$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.332552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Avalanche73c424.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6312070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets40c373.64$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Avalanche55c319.21$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Avalanche63c319.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0514151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Blue Jackets40c317.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche62c300.73$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.581,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jackets38c296.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5937847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Avalanche60c275$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11013158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Blue Jackets40c270$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10816346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde50…cf46backed Avalanche61c257.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Avalanche59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Blue Jackets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…be58backed Avalanche60c238.75$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Avalanche60c235.2$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0824949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Blue Jackets41c221.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0112348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…faaabacked Blue Jackets41c208.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb454…5193backed Blue Jackets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8194…22adbacked Blue Jackets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…f03cbacked Blue Jackets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804060%24 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.