TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof 76ers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,492,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,590,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,492,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Bulls45c201,051$90,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,578.293033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked 76ers52c191,143$99,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,986.641947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Bulls49c153,964$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,963.589641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed 76ers55c150,000$82,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,50020055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers51c128,504$65,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,354.8772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers31c100,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,599.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Bulls65c53,640$35,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,571.389640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bulls49c50,740$24,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,877.3922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls47c50,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,599.9751350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed 76ers51c46,300$23,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,756.0221450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Bulls50c46,300$23,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,29317861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Bulls35c44,724$15,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,855.049336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4716…3444backed 76ers1c42,988$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.882263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Bulls49c40,000$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,599.879348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers60c33,130$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed 76ers55c31,000$17,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,05037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls58c30,262$17,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,648.721,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed 76ers55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50019351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1a…5f56backed 76ers51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers9c30,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls46c30,000$13,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,099.851,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Bulls50c27,724$13,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,862.0113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked 76ers59c26,606$15,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,589.1444654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers56c22,838$12,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,841.461,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls48c22,315$10,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,495.0936741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers53c21,751$11,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,506.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Bulls50c21,214$10,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,655.7911547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers63c17,277$10,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,842.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers60c16,700$10,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,060.881,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers63c16,136$10,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,087.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls48c14,869$7,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,706.432,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Bulls39c14,508$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,849.610049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed 76ers55c14,400$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9207149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…69a6backed Bulls50c13,632$6,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls48c13,451$6,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,058.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bulls48c13,328$6,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,930.781,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers64c12,557$8,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.225,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked 76ers58c12,522$7,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,207.956051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed 76ers51c12,435$6,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3421844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Bulls50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers53c10,457$5,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,566.22,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bulls49c10,338$5,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,232.3655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers44c10,292$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.431,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed 76ers53c10,051$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.2914244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls46c10,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.9951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9819048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls46c9,851$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls48c9,467$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.431044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls48c9,375$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,87566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers61c9,296$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,700.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers60c9,067$5,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,404.351,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers51c8,697$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.4735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bulls46c8,131$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.7418553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls48c8,080$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.0130947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 76ers50c8,000$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01512143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Bulls46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.9951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.952,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Bulls50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked 76ers48c6,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Bulls46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9921446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed 76ers49c5,999$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.4613148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls50c5,900$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96027247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd45b…58f5backed 76ers66c5,597$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Bulls50c5,535$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed 76ers50c5,500$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Bulls46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.785352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed 76ers54c5,340$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.7761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers54c5,276$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.8682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4444…ed4cbacked 76ers51c5,156$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8a34backed Bulls49c5,053$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls47c5,001$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.61,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Bulls50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers53c5,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6601,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb6…8221backed Bulls49c4,940$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.9619136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c52…371fbacked 76ers51c4,845$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Bulls50c4,830$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.2424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Bulls47c4,823$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.3639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Bulls46c4,736$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.592759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfc…a2cbbacked Bulls50c4,708$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed 76ers50c4,611$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bulls49c4,610$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.0814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2df…94b9backed 76ers51c4,510$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Bulls50c4,464$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.5929037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls46c4,434$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.71,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed 76ers50c4,139$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.826247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls46c4,100$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls51c4,050$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.862,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646a…3dafbacked 76ers53c3,810$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.35848.3%28 W · 30 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked 76ers54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed 76ers54c3,700$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed 76ers1c3,639$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd029…1909backed 76ers49c3,573$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7651060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Bulls29c3,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers51c3,400$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.949733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Bulls44c3,331$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.3715549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 76ers61c3,321$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.7934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls46c3,225$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.552,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Bulls46c3,031$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.7626659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.