TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9315…a744backed 76ers52c10,755$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,592.66767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Bulls48c10,543$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,482.363636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls45c1,696$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed 76ers54c1,326$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed 76ers54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls46c1,220$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls46c890$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.132,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca2…79abbacked Bulls46c863.04$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls47c591.61$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Bulls46c416$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Bulls46c415$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.117644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed 76ers53c399.97$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed 76ers55c336$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.217448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls47c303.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.422,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked 76ers55c286$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.649258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers53c270.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.719733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed 76ers51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Bulls48c212$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.242552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked 76ers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked 76ers53c199.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fd…b08fbacked 76ers53c189.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked 76ers56c179.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls47c171.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.042,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked 76ers54c169$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.266454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a7…9638backed 76ers58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed 76ers57c141$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.376045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bulls50c136.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.561,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed 76ers54c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.486446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls48c110.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed 76ers54c107$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.786839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dfb…8defbacked 76ers55c100.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553129%9 W · 22 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed 76ers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Bulls45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed 76ers55c92.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed 76ers55c91.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers42c90.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked 76ers54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.64461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked 76ers66c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed 76ers56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bulls46c86.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.791,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Bulls46c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.423759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed 76ers55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed 76ers55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked 76ers53c72.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3510248%49 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed 76ers55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked 76ers54c59.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls45c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Bulls46c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.243865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Bulls47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Bulls44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Bulls46c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.463641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Bulls46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.085048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Bulls45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.854344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Bulls45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Bulls46c43.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.749345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed 76ers55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Bulls43c39.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8763745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Bulls46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Bulls45c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.353857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed 76ers32c36.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Bulls46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Bulls45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Bulls46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Bulls45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls50c35.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Bulls46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Bulls45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.253050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Bulls46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.364153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Bulls47c33.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5215149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Bulls45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked 76ers54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.288151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed 76ers50c31.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6816447.6%78 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Bulls45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Bulls45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.053043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Bulls45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Bulls45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bulls46c28.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Bulls45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Bulls45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked 76ers54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Bulls46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Bulls68c24.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.863360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Bulls43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Bulls43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.683956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Bulls43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.684252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Bulls43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Bulls46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Bulls46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.423056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked 76ers56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.889446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea5…cc71backed 76ers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.