TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd89e…35fabacked Under49c20,497$10,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,491.224544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…b736backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x306f…3393backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c9,107$4,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,694.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under49c8,400$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2842860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Over51c8,400$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2841637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c7,054$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under51c6,643$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.2748448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over51c6,011$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.6952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over54c3,687$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c2,650$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0809451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,792$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.092,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over2c1,471$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c1,428$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over54c1,087$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c906.62$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.372,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c835$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.551,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over48c824.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over54c773.72$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8115756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c574.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over52c573.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over53c523.34$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6438148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c483.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c419.53$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc23…a56ebacked Over49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.94740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over52c385.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5631144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c375.77$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.641,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c247$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.732,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c230.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.371,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c225.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8972647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3337352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0828046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c200.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c198$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Over53c189.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006055%33 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under65c180$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c175.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under49c162$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.628151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over42c161.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over39c160.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under73c159.95$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under53c150.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3734050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.25651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c82.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c80.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over51c71.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c65.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under51c59.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over51c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4228537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…155ebacked Over48c52.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…8fa1backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over51c49.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3810234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Under49c48.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5712654%68 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over43c43.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6638347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.88248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69c…9522backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over52c38.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.763450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee47…a253backed Under42c35.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.475433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.422356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.167353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over43c32.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.918347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.395548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6995…c072backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.085164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Over51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.774660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.754643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over51c24.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4130244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.726741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.