TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ea5…cc71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.05
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$16.38
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+203%+$30.15
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.96
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$67.98
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39.48
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+89.4%+$17.94
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.91
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.2%+$99.37
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.7
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.96
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.78
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$23.84
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$36.3
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+120.6%+$21.6
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.85
Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$198.39
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$110
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.96
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+105.7%+$14.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.54
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65.34
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$31.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.