Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d88287dca7c740efab977c0f7563a35d92a1764480dd7a00f8dbc7fc3a501a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Zalgiris Kaunas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 3,331$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 27c | 1,300$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 1,255$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 927.69$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 907.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 741.47$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 720.63$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.92 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 699.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 34c | 585.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.68 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 24c | 581.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 23c | 346.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 46c | 287.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 260.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 10c | 235$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 227.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 226.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 215.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 208.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 175$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 173.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 33c | 173.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…6ec2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 150.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 24c | 139.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 133.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 116.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 97.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 29c | 86.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 79.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 68.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 25c | 65.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 55.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 72c | 40.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 64c | 35.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…4e7ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 37c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 29.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 27.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…1b77backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.