TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1275…29c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bielsko Biala: Sevil Yuldasheva vs Emma Slavikovabacked Sevil Yuldasheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
ITF Bielsko Biala: Chiara Fornasieri vs Katarzyna Wysoczanskabacked Katarzyna Wysoczanska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinskabacked Sarah Iliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Klara Veldman vs Eleejah Inisanbacked Klara Veldman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Alice Soulie vs Marcelina Podlinskabacked Alice Soulie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Kim Chiarello vs Lisa Claeysbacked Lisa Claeys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cherbourg: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.11
Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.1%+$67.78
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$114.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.56
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$10.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.5%+$16.75
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+426.5%+$328.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+256.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+256.3%+$25.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$95.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$50.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.