Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5126adaad10df50028f5c26a47efdfccbc7b793dcb8f908a35c8d6839a2d68b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 2,745$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.07 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 75c | 1,798$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…a332backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 76c | 1,004$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 889.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 72c | 781$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 72c | 737.29$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 529.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 459.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 457.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 304.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 280.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 223$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 78c | 138.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…9c6fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 73c | 137.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 125.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 71c | 90.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 73c | 81.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 75c | 66.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 46.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 76c | 44.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 74c | 28.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…db5cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 72c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.