Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df752b14c066d7a10139aa09ab835e76d69c84e16254d6b8faea8628dd2179e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarah Ilievof Sarah Iliev, Marcelina Podlinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Marcelina Podlinska | 21c | 2,856$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.75 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Sarah Iliev | 11c | 1,616$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.24 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sarah Iliev | 69c | 1,234$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marcelina Podlinska | 38c | 553.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Sarah Iliev | 60c | 462$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Sarah Iliev | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 53c | 299.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Sarah Iliev | 64c | 295$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marcelina Podlinska | 42c | 269.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Sarah Iliev | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Marcelina Podlinska | 20c | 234.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Sarah Iliev | 64c | 229$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 38c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 35c | 146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Marcelina Podlinska | 22c | 131.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Sarah Iliev | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Sarah Iliev | 16c | 98.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcelina Podlinska | 24c | 81.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sarah Iliev | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sarah Iliev | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 57c | 57.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Marcelina Podlinska | 45c | 48.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sarah Iliev | 28c | 48.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marcelina Podlinska | 43c | 34.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sarah Iliev | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 54c | 32.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Sarah Iliev | 78c | 26.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sarah Iliev | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sarah Iliev | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sarah Iliev | 79c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sarah Iliev | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Sarah Iliev | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.