Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307335540dc2dec82362feab08a8f24d4f8d522e9363f6808d2564875f2ba7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,896$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,237$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 692.31$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 78c | 532.37$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 510.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 5c | 203$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 25c | 126.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 115.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…89cabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 24c | 88.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 76c | 73.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…0246backed Yes | 20c | 73.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…0354backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…ecf9backed Yes | 25c | 70.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…841abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 76c | 54.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…1ab0backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…3c5bbacked No | 75c | 40.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.