TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dd1…070d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will RB Salzburg win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$15.77
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+632.5%+$360.51
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$15.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$459.02
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71.93
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$217.76
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$165.64
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+222.6%+$56.94
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$16.21
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$48.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$171.51
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123.8
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+188.6%+$47.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$23.02
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.41
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.42
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$112.61
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will Sifan Hassan (NED) win gold in the Women’s Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+300%+$30
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Keely Hodgkinson (GBR) win gold in 800m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Will Sifan Hassan (NED) win gold in 5000m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$95.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.