MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf005e25efa58a0e50c8db463f54b1c7914426ab9227299f39f469affa805cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Nationals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 46,069$34,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,282.87 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 28c | 15,742$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.23 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 17c | 15,092$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 24c | 14,842$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 4c | 12,382$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 14c | 10,803$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…4ca6backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 9,995$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…eba5backed Nationals | 32c | 9,995$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nationals | 33c | 7,381$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.83 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nationals | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 5,538$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.6 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 4,579$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 14c | 3,758$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.13 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 3,333$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.54 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 33c | 3,056$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.59 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nationals | 20c | 2,723$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nationals | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 15c | 1,961$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nationals | 34c | 1,783$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 32c | 1,771$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.72 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals | 12c | 1,678$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 33c | 1,367$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.42 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Nationals | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 32c | 1,016$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 2c | 950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 31c | 849.93$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.48 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 11c | 818.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 4c | 802.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 17c | 717.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 20c | 658.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 4c | 607.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Nationals | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Nationals | 25c | 484.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 471.08$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 5c | 470$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 11c | 464.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 390.91$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 20c | 365.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 350.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Nationals | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Nationals | 12c | 349.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 13c | 317.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Nationals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 307.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Nationals | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Nationals | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Nationals | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 31c | 215.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 13c | 180.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…5efbbacked Nationals | 32c | 170.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 14c | 163.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…11c7backed Nationals | 32c | 159.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nationals | 12c | 155$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…40acbacked Nationals | 32c | 147.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 33c | 147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked Nationals | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Nationals | 12c | 143.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Nationals | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c1…6428backed Nationals | 33c | 142.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…b16fbacked Nationals | 33c | 140.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d431backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Nationals | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Nationals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Nationals | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…540ebacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 97.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Nationals | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…9b71backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 79.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 75.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…1675backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 32c | 74.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…28d7backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 74.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…f8abbacked Nationals | 32c | 73.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d4aabacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 73.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…c162backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 73.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…433bbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 72.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…db9bbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 72.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Nationals | 19c | 71.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…3e1fbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 71.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…e6e5backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 70.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Nationals | 21c | 69.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…a9cabacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 69.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…433fbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 68.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.