Olympics · resolved market
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6103503b0ff50e3eca6962c5d7349ae4d37ffa7e7995eee2bdc060055ff773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f8…b504backed Yes | 58c | 4,668$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 42c | 2,235$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.22 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 47c | 1,803$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 42c | 1,624$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…88c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,300$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…5836backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…092fbacked Yes | 59c | 506.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…410ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Yes | 59c | 370$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 39c | 330.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dd…c3e4backed Yes | 58c | 300.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 57c | 270$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 61c | 249.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Yes | 61c | 222.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 58c | 215.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Yes | 58c | 200.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…857abacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…9fb3backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…43e5backed No | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…d760backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…9748backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…dfbdbacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked No | 45c | 147.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 42c | 136.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…f250backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 56c | 123.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…fc8abacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 39c | 114.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 58c | 106.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…d259backed Yes | 61c | 103.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 59c | 101.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…ca4dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…9bcdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74e…f366backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…6ef5backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…43dfbacked No | 44c | 97.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 60c | 96.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 40c | 92.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…a85abacked No | 43c | 89.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…b707backed No | 41c | 87.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 37c | 83.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 44c | 70.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 59c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…ed3abacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…21c5backed No | 43c | 53.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…6a28backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…3873backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…1771backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…0c09backed Yes | 61c | 49.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…a54cbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4347backed Yes | 61c | 48.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 39c | 46.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca63…5422backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…a22cbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…41e4backed Yes | 61c | 40.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…909ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…2c83backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…15fdbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…3efabacked No | 43c | 31.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…6768backed No | 43c | 31.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…b9c9backed Yes | 61c | 30.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…6e44backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…c516backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 56c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…daf0backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…4dacbacked Yes | 57c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…be96backed Yes | 58c | 24.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…b489backed Yes | 68c | 23.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6620backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…edc7backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…60b5backed Yes | 56c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…bddebacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?this page
- Will Cole Hocker (USA) win Gold in 1500m?Yes won
- Will George Mills (GBR) win Gold in 1500m?No won
- Will Josh Kerr (GBR) win Gold in 1500m?No won
- Will Reynold Cheruiyot (KEN) win Gold in 1500m?No won
- Will Timothy Cheruiyot (KEN) win Gold in 1500m?No won
- Will Yared Nuguse (USA) win Gold in 1500m?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in 1500m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.