TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0da7…ca6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Olympics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $300 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $350 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Solana reach $250 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Solana reach $195 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$23.88
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Solana reach $210 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $170 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$14.24
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$37.66
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$65.71
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+440%+$110
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Thug" or "Cartel" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Million" "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Trump say "Mexican" or "Mexico" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "National Guard" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.21
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+98.3%+$36.38
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+81.2%+$20.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Will Djamel Sedjati (ALG) win gold in 800m M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Will Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+37%+$9.99
Will Caeleb Dressel (USA) win Gold in Men's 100m Butterfly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ryan Murphy (USA) win Gold in Men's 200m Backstroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
Will Regan Smith (USA) win Gold in 100m Women's Backstroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jiayu Xu (CHN) win Gold in Men's 100m Backstroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+88.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+109.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "Supply Chain" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.