Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df8a73df1a6bb17652b183a5c931d7f2256ac772f455022ca998da17d9803e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…bcadbacked No | 0c | 92,044$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked Yes | 58c | 12,687$7,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked No | 70c | 11,158$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 12c | 2,880$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 54c | 2,858$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 60c | 2,185$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…6274backed No | 6c | 1,697$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…82c6backed No | 4c | 1,677$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 1c | 1,618$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +977.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…26b5backed No | 44c | 1,379$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 65c | 1,354$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 64c | 1,127$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,035$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 47c | 1,001$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 55c | 999.87$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.94 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…10e8backed Yes | 51c | 974.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 36c | 951.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 56c | 887.98$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked Yes | 62c | 854.34$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked Yes | 54c | 759.06$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 62c | 742.01$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…2e40backed No | 4c | 729.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9281backed Yes | 72c | 618.22$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 38c | 581.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 65c | 575.44$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed Yes | 41c | 556.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 40c | 536.86$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed No | 23c | 468.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…3f5ebacked No | 31c | 466.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 64c | 463.34$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.74 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…cd73backed No | 5c | 430.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked No | 5c | 418.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…ef06backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…c8f8backed Yes | 52c | 388.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 10c | 371.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 74c | 346$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 319.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 63c | 318.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…89b6backed No | 39c | 312.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…6a33backed Yes | 36c | 291.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 48c | 274.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 57c | 241.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 49c | 237.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 62c | 235.22$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 9c | 232.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…107cbacked No | 5c | 232.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…b099backed Yes | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 45c | 223.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 50c | 213.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +168%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 79c | 189.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…8349backed Yes | 35c | 172$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…99dcbacked No | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 51c | 129.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a6…ddb1backed Yes | 48c | 125.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed Yes | 35c | 117.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc858…d6dabacked No | 9c | 117.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked No | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked No | 50c | 110.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…7165backed No | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 45c | 102.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…d62ebacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…c515backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…e62bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…d673backed Yes | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked No | 51c | 91.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 39c | 88.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 75c | 87.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 29c | 87.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 51c | 85.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…ff87backed Yes | 37c | 81.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…0082backed Yes | 39c | 76.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…9c6bbacked Yes | 41c | 72.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…97bdbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 57c | 69.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed Yes | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed No | 62c | 64.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.