Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fa0828df633d7a5379fb6066b6ea3594221d6f04b1c394b3359ad41f9e4d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60df…107cbacked No | 2c | 5,817$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 57c | 2,303$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 39c | 1,948$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 57c | 1,393$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…27babacked No | 2c | 1,329$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 35c | 1,047$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…c175backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…6e99backed Yes | 44c | 911.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 67c | 672.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 46c | 647.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35f4…0d0dbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 60c | 511.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…4fd5backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…ba10backed No | 74c | 477$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 44c | 453.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 60c | 450.77$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 60c | 409.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed Yes | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed Yes | 50c | 398.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 25c | 398.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 363$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 363$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…28a0backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 32c | 339.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 5c | 306.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…9457backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 60c | 299.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 40c | 259.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 59c | 237.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 60c | 226.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 76c | 211.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked No | 57c | 206.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 68c | 199.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 191.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 44c | 181.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8281backed Yes | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 44c | 169.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…f7c2backed Yes | 49c | 134.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 69c | 132.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 58c | 131.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 44c | 120.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…c78ebacked Yes | 34c | 113.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…e222backed No | 9c | 112.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 56c | 109.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…ef20backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 60c | 100.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…23dfbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dc…a65fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…bb62backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 37c | 92.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed No | 24c | 86.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 68c | 85.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked No | 64c | 85.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed Yes | 70c | 84.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 76c | 79.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…572abacked No | 79c | 75.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…3714backed Yes | 20c | 75.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 42c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…c143backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…bc47backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…c96cbacked Yes | 73c | 68.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…8c17backed Yes | 33c | 68.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 34c | 51.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…4c32backed No | 60c | 50.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 49c | 47.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…583fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 65c | 45.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 59c | 43.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 58c | 41.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed No | 62c | 40.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…c206backed No | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed No | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…ce49backed Yes | 40c | 39.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.