Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa20218324dde48773fa214336eb44b66adfd0e2e95a47269c40a2d2fe2a5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36b2…99dcbacked No | 1c | 8,138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…82c6backed No | 0c | 8,107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 16c | 4,132$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked No | 24c | 3,052$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 12c | 2,510$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 13c | 2,280$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…3deebacked No | 15c | 2,008$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 20c | 1,997$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 9c | 1,957$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 80c | 1,509$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…4060backed No | 15c | 1,392$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…c66fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,343$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…83a8backed No | 18c | 1,257$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 12c | 1,101$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…4fd5backed No | 17c | 999.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked No | 18c | 900.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 10c | 779.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…6094backed No | 17c | 755.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 79c | 714.7$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…1372backed No | 15c | 655.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…8aa2backed Yes | 80c | 647.65$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 13c | 640.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 71c | 621.89$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed No | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 13c | 599.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…2dcdbacked Yes | 73c | 530.32$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…9f06backed No | 30c | 518$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 26c | 517.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…f293backed No | 20c | 507.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 7c | 495.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 25c | 442.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 71c | 433.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 10c | 415.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 12c | 399.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…f01cbacked No | 28c | 357.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 16c | 326.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked No | 31c | 320.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 19c | 316$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b20…25bbbacked Yes | 75c | 309.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…0c79backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Yes | 69c | 288.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 13c | 277.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…a449backed Yes | 75c | 262.56$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 255.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 14c | 246.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 14c | 245.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 72c | 200.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…41e3backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…8f88backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…bb62backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…9484backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 75c | 169.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…fcf9backed No | 13c | 164.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 24c | 151.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…1f14backed No | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…34c0backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed No | 35c | 141.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5f62backed No | 15c | 139.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed No | 14c | 138.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…a4cbbacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 77c | 129.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…af12backed No | 25c | 125.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…96a6backed No | 22c | 115.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 70c | 114.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed No | 16c | 113.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…95b7backed Yes | 78c | 105.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…17cabacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…27a7backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…6fc0backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 78c | 96.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…46acbacked No | 13c | 94.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ff66backed Yes | 79c | 76.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 73c | 68.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 77c | 64.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9281backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 71c | 56.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8e9cbacked Yes | 77c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb266…ccbdbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212f…a834backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.