Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7dc479b2cbdbd0a01adea87ef0ead7e46f8a1ab07187e92d04ee1893b6fc5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed No | 6c | 3,632$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…4337backed No | 38c | 2,745$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…eefabacked No | 52c | 1,843$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 33c | 1,454$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 62c | 1,311$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 61c | 999.94$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…b315backed Yes | 71c | 943.7$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed No | 39c | 603.09$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 39c | 569.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 36c | 437.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 64c | 436$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 42c | 370$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…78bcbacked Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 64c | 348.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…db68backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed Yes | 61c | 326.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 64c | 310.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 28c | 297$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…28a0backed No | 39c | 256.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 17c | 256.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed Yes | 11c | 229.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 52c | 217.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 40c | 203.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes | 49c | 180.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes | 61c | 178.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 40c | 168.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Yes | 62c | 161.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 38c | 153.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 49c | 137.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 62c | 129.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 51c | 129.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d5…a9ccbacked Yes | 71c | 120.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 71c | 119.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Yes | 53c | 117.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 46c | 114.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…ae93backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…cd73backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…3e09backed Yes | 65c | 109.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 61c | 108.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb266…ccbdbacked Yes | 11c | 101.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +111%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…c556backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…8527backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…447cbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 23c | 97.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed Yes | 64c | 94.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 36c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed No | 44c | 91.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Yes | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 33c | 85.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 61c | 82.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d187backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 18c | 78.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 40c | 78.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 49c | 65.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…b3acbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…3526backed Yes | 61c | 65.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 58c | 65.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 66c | 64.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…4255backed Yes | 55c | 63.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…a4e8backed Yes | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…c5d9backed Yes | 24c | 61.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…417cbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…811ebacked Yes | 73c | 59.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…0099backed Yes | 52c | 59.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…572abacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…7996backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…3765backed Yes | 57c | 50.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…17cabacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed Yes | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 40c | 49.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 61c | 49.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…9a79backed No | 40c | 49.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 26c | 48.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 45c | 47.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…3feabacked No | 42c | 47.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…bceabacked Yes | 69c | 45.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Yes | 61c | 40.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…c4a9backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.