Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24e825ba72ac28f67b83f9d5993bbd8dc3538712f9dd4bac5c3593e935d66c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…bcadbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…4337backed No | 52c | 5,600$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,210$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…abc2backed Yes | 1c | 2,325$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked No | 50c | 1,652$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 48c | 1,280$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 54c | 1,121$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 45c | 1,061$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 49c | 959.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Yes | 9c | 759.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…db68backed Yes | 46c | 733.9$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 50c | 720$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 45c | 710.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 68c | 606.03$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 51c | 600$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 59c | 584.85$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 52c | 527.35$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed Yes | 53c | 436.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Yes | 51c | 396.67$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 30c | 365.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 57c | 349.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 46c | 343.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 40c | 295.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked Yes | 50c | 289.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 23c | 280$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…ea17backed No | 60c | 271.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…8fb9backed Yes | 50c | 267$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…e423backed Yes | 65c | 232.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 26c | 227.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…29eabacked Yes | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed No | 46c | 216.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 75c | 209.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 46c | 207.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…032abacked Yes | 35c | 204.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 45c | 199.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 51c | 194.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 45c | 188.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…c6f4backed Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…3585backed Yes | 46c | 139.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 17c | 134.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…e610backed Yes | 72c | 125.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes | 63c | 117.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…3526backed Yes | 61c | 114.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 45c | 112.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…e222backed Yes | 22c | 108.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 56c | 107.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked No | 52c | 105.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 15c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…e1c3backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb266…ccbdbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 13c | 99.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Yes | 64c | 99.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…e62bbacked Yes | 50c | 95.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 59c | 92.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…6274backed No | 48c | 82.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked Yes | 52c | 81.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…c4a9backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…0082backed Yes | 51c | 79.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…f280backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…6c54backed No | 55c | 74.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…c515backed Yes | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…ff87backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…68dcbacked Yes | 55c | 67.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…9b59backed Yes | 30c | 67.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed No | 37c | 65.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…d1e4backed No | 75c | 65.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 57c | 64.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…cfe6backed Yes | 46c | 63.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…61f9backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed Yes | 27c | 56.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…3765backed Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked No | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 45c | 45.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…59ecbacked No | 51c | 45.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.