TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd9c…7133

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 62 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.87
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.19
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will the announcers say "Shutout" or "Shut Out" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.8
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.6
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.98
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$113.26
Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$446
Will the announcers say "Dolphins" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$280.85
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$280.79
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$153.6
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$144.81
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT6225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$96.7
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.29
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.87
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.82
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.6
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.83
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.22
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$105.95
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.87
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3672.2%26 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$67.09
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.28
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$117.6
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40
Will Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$13.42
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$70.3
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$26.8
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32.7%+$20.23
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.4%+$3.9
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$126.49
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.5%+$8.93
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+378.2%+$88.22
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56%+$59.25
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$109.99
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.2%+$24
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questionsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.4%+$42.7
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$43.57
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37.8%+$43.89
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.81
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+89.4%+$179.83
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+146.6%+$73.28
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.2
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Trump say "Thousand", "Million", or "Billion" 7+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+54.6%+$134.49
Will Trump say "Vicious" or "Brutal" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+203%+$66.79
Will Trump say "Border" or "Tariff" 5+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$52.16
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.16
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+107.1%+$49.63
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.6
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$62.09
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$84.7
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$27
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$46.38
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$34.4
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$47.2
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.81
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.73
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.18
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$5.35
Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$121.4
Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.39
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawksbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.4
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.75
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chewy say "Insurance" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Chewy say "International / Internationally" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52.15
Will NVIDIA say "Arizona" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$44.8
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will NVIDIA say "H20" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Disney say "DraftKings" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Disney say "Acquisition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Disney say "Margin" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Disney say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Hims say "Regulation" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+90.1%+$43.1
Will Palantir say "Government Contract" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.8%+$19.2
Will Palantir say "Commercial Growth" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Palantir say "AI Growth" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.6%+$9.6
Will Apple say "Wearable" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Starbucks say "Peppermint" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Starbucks say "Non Dairy" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Starbucks say "Promotion" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Starbucks say "Canada" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Meta say "Oakley" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
Will "Investor" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "Productivity" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$10.5
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$62.7
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Mamdani say "People" 5+ times during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$125.4
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.7
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$74.24
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+142.7%+$55.85
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$47.98
Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+235.4%+$78.99
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+128.8%+$38.28
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Nik Airball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4700 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.