TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0298…93c4backed Yes60c524$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes60c389$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No40c222$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a8b…8152backed Yes60c202.02$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.773053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No41c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes57c163.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No42c118.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6121944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes59c98.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5622226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes57c67.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.885244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes57c53.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9230241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No41c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3221063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8916336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked No41c50.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.772,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c38.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No42c35.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.883948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675b…717bbacked Yes58c34.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes57c27.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8617652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes60c20.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.067250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.