TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed Yes11c930.17$107 inWon+$823.324037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…fb3fbacked Yes7c538.75$40 inWon+$498.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,246.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes15c521.41$76 inWon+$445.642825%7 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes31c424.61$132 inWon+$292.613090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes15c297.97$44 inWon+$253.5722226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes18c280.9$50 inWon+$230.98966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe259…8ad9backed Yes8c225$18 inWon+$207520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes9c220$20 inWon+$200.25650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed Yes14c214.29$30 inWon+$184.292030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes8c200$16 inWon+$1845549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Yes33c151.1$50 inWon+$101.248651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No67c130$87 inLost-$87.135954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes11c124.94$14 inWon+$111.074829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes13c110$14 inWon+$95.720031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c105.29$16 inWon+$89.51,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes16c102.9$17 inWon+$86.3842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…7302backed Yes10c100$10 inWon+$904553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Yes41c50$21 inWon+$29.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a3…3cdfbacked No62c24$15 inLost-$14.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed No58c19.32$11 inLost-$11.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked No73c16.64$12 inLost-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a48…3513backed No73c13.79$10 inLost-$10.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.