TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fff…be78backed Yes71c499.81$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes55c457.69$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1324037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No30c394.62$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No28c311.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.233946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Yes72c285.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes65c257.87$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.742588%22 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No19c257.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9122226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes72c196.62$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No30c179.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.343663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No30c142.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0811256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes75c132.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc5…67a5backed Yes57c119.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes63c105.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7820031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No40c84.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed No29c68.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.91931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes59c64.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0722550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0511058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d5…1300backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a3…3cdfbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes59c35.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No42c33.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4111748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58bf…2ef8backed Yes65c30.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2258…1451backed Yes65c30.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.642737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a48…3513backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…ebdebacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes71c15.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.