TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes49c455.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7748961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes49c302.53$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes66c212.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No42c199.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No33c146.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No45c112.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.229723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No43c89.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.091,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes49c88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.128366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No37c84.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4113044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes64c71.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No55c71.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1216854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No61c66.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes44c64.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.975168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No36c62.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes41c60.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4754450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.642737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed Yes50c57.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.523663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes54c54.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0722226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes51c42.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5311256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No47c42.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4535954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1313148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes53c36.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.355848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No48c35.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4917652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No58c28.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.926870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked Yes65c19.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.