TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa43d…00f4backed No56c3,033$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes41c2,275$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.639723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4c…d70dbacked Yes46c2,183$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No57c1,196$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes43c808.57$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.612534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes24c450$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8520031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No62c430.42$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8522226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No58c379.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes38c310.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.881,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes42c300.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.035244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e65…11f3backed Yes41c243.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No41c233.56$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No64c146.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No62c133$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.998366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c91.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.812,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No56c89.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2721944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes44c87.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked No65c60.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No55c55.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.755541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No55c53.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4117652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes44c51.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No60c49.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.863663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No57c48.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6611256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No44c48.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.226358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed No61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.836870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No64c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No56c26.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.573948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6c…1a3cbacked No60c25.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc848…537bbacked No60c21.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.635463%34 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.