TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Bronze" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No27c185$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No27c178.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3422449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No28c52.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.643948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked No23c48.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.267250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes77c48.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0511058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes72c44.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes73c44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1210853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No27c40.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1d…4d41backed Yes76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+336.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes73c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf7…b963backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2225…bee7backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes73c19.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.