TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed No39c2,800$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.512534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed Yes63c1,033$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.213250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes61c915$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes62c680$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4817945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes62c546$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9813044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No38c410$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.81,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No37c333$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2121836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c229.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7855044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.661,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes60c151.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.755244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No39c98.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.551,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Yes61c73.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7738155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes59c57.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes59c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No40c48.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed No36c31.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675b…717bbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes60c28.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5334151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes61c27.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes60c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes60c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c17.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.