TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes44c398.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No63c352.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3812534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes37c311.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0913044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No58c272.47$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4517945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No63c212.67$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7423357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcd…a764backed Yes35c173.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes35c171.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No63c117.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4420447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No62c85.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5822550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.378966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c73.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.462,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No51c55.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.254450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes41c50.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6817652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No63c42.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No63c40.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ce…a061backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c32.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No65c25.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.766358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked No65c18.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.