TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e76…daf9backed Yes38c1,596$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No62c520.08$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No63c499.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes37c435$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c306.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.941,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No62c272.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9217945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12417632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Yes41c187.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No59c158.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd570…b90abacked Yes38c149.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed No62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No59c85.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.882,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes36c81.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No61c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.835954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No63c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3523357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c40.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes37c37.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c33.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7169…3ca6backed No62c18.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.