Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa478a77aa624e1fbd52e70278023b6c48e18e2fc4b1a7d13349187c575f84a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 29c | 3,438$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.54 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 29c | 2,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.03 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,361$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Yes | 69c | 1,448$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.82 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 33c | 685.21$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.52 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 68c | 545.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 31c | 516.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 72c | 390.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed No | 30c | 348.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…8bc3backed Yes | 71c | 320.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 67c | 290.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 277.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 69c | 257$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 78c | 241.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 222.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 24c | 222$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +27.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…d8ccbacked Yes | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 70c | 165.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 70c | 144.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…717bbacked Yes | 66c | 143.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…d2dcbacked No | 24c | 113.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes | 69c | 101.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e2d2backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed No | 26c | 67.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes | 78c | 67.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 37c | 61.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 28c | 60.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 70c | 53.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked No | 37c | 49.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…b963backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ce7dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…2852backed Yes | 69c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…aef0backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…d980backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Yes | 68c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…adc9backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 65c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Yes | 65c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Bronze" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Dolphins" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Ball" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 3+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Lenovo" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Kick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Record" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shutout" or "Shut Out" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Tenure" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.