TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes31c6,028$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.5812534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No68c2,608$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.4817945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No71c780$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.219818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No70c702.33$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No67c555$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No62c458.91$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11916336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes36c310.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9822226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes29c286.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes31c200.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1722550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed Yes29c139.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c120.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.551,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No67c119.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4360…fad6backed No71c114.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No71c100.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No65c96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1910853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No72c86.6$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.253250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No67c54.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5e…2493backed Yes29c52.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes33c48.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8917652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No65c39.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No69c26.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3711256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No66c20.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9348636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed No71c19.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.595253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No72c18.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1919874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No70c15.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.