TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd555…e28abacked No42c1,404$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes58c800$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes58c688.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0124954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes59c456$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.521,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked No46c350$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes55c299.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8422226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9a…ca97backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c229.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No39c201.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.878366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No6c170.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7548636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No39c145.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508966.3%59 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No38c69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.810454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes59c56.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed Yes60c55.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.983663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x28a1…69a1backed No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No35c35.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4212534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No40c30.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Yes62c27.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd930…6308backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes61c20.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.198540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes61c20.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes65c19.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.687250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.