TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe259…8ad9backed Yes1c2,053$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No44c753.01$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes56c264.16$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.885244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No58c142.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes57c136.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.742,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No40c125.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1321944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No41c109.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5755044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes52c97.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.913090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes47c93.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes61c91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.398366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No46c75.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.663663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32c5…adc9backed Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes42c40.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.025541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed No40c37.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.473948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ce7dbacked Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes60c30.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No44c27.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab7f…742bbacked No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.