TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes25c173.94$44 inWon+$129.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes70c150$105 inWon+$44.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No70c115.76$81 inLost-$80.75650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21f…b08fbacked No35c100$35 inLost-$351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed No29c80$23 inLost-$23.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No43c76.76$33 inLost-$33.3124954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes72c44.62$32 inWon+$12.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No51c27.8$14 inLost-$14.2415646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed Yes49c25$12 inWon+$12.83860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No66c21$14 inLost-$13.8622449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes58c20$12 inWon+$8.421850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec76…01c4backed Yes77c20$15 inWon+$4.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0b…55e1backed No61c20$12 inLost-$12.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.