TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26bc…6b72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$81.93
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.79
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$86.19
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.5%+$48.9
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+386.2%+$77.23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon post "President" on X this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon post "Energy" on X this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$62.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+190.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+328.8%+$164.38
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+235.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+235.8%+$70.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.