TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes27c395.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9220031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No76c391.42$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes24c324.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes24c297.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.814323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No73c296.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes27c260.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No75c199.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No66c191.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.523357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No74c139.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.862,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No76c123.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No73c83.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.484226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe373…3736backed Yes24c70.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No74c64.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No72c48.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3817945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No75c39.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed No74c30.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No75c23.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9618453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdf…336cbacked No76c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.485253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c15.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.911,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed No76c14.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.511770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37d…b48cbacked No74c13.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.