Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e2379fa6c805631591c2054d4f6650decc4ca46bfb3821d73acd57edca4e00a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,496 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0298…93c4backed No	76c	3,298$2,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.16	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.35per pick	46cpaid	+89.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x48b7…6d53backed Yes	11c	2,241$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes	19c	784.99$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	11c	625.03$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.48	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	9c	477.36$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f74…8741backed Yes	20c	422.24$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.55	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes	12c	422.08$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	20c	293.93$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.79	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	11c	286.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	12c	275.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	12c	254$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.48	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed29…d325backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	44cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1ee…a180backed Yes	11c	209$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	13c	204.55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1988…525ebacked Yes	10c	204.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	17c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	26c	193$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…7b28backed Yes	22c	190.91$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	26c	174.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.42	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Yes	11c	156.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	11c	140$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5143…15ebbacked Yes	26c	130$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	21c	120.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	23c	100.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	168	47%79 W · 89 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	17c	89.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes	17c	81.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…9155backed Yes	22c	72.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No	77c	69.82$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8f…b385backed Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-57%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked No	80c	28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	78c	24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed No	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No	78c	18.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.05	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event