TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x95c2…5a17backed Yes42c1,464$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No54c1,400$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3498…ef20backed Yes45c1,345$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8469…dab0backed Yes29c1,003$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.091833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No56c938.87$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6917945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No59c929.28$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.592634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No60c660$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9835954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No54c619.42$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4113044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.54738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No58c521.57$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x50c0…eb7fbacked Yes45c490$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…8152backed Yes51c393.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb57c…7b15backed Yes53c379.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes46c357.44$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7734151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No55c345.37$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4216336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes32c271.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No53c261.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes39c243.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3314323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7270…2eb9backed Yes37c235.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes32c173.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed Yes31c167.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.071872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6de9…752abacked No69c144.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b6…aa86backed Yes40c122.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.25650%28 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4a0dbacked Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a5…3eb7backed Yes41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f09…38c3backed No65c103.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No72c91.83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…2fbfbacked Yes53c89.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No53c89.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1425352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b71…cb46backed Yes52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No63c83.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked No50c77.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18bf…2d34backed Yes45c73.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.750450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd977…4590backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes49c60.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd366…88f5backed Yes50c47.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b9…5225backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked No57c46.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c44.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ac…3d81backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae11…2d01backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+184.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x055a…d83bbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c37.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0621…b742backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No54c37.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0444…a0f2backed Yes52c28.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd8…f0c2backed Yes39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c23.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8816246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018a…9522backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b86…25bdbacked Yes53c19.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abe…1446backed No62c16.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.353663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.