Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61405b7bd0c544df501d0ed3caf77191b8f8851db2821ac43037924dc58e3592

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,229 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	22c	1,505$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.84	107	27.1%29 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed Yes	21c	1,248$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.08	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0046…568cbacked Yes	22c	685.38$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.3	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	78c	548.78$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.23	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No	77c	325$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.15	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	23c	294.09$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	256$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.32	1,068	49.2%525 W · 543 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	78c	228.22$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.33	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	78c	199.98$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	553	44.7%247 W · 306 L	-28.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No	77c	104.35$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a33…7302backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	78c	99.97$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.99	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes	21c	80$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf568…efabbacked Yes	22c	70.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	78c	62.4$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0444…a0f2backed Yes	22c	52.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	77c	51.74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864f…3ae7backed No	78c	33.29$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No	77c	33.18$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.63	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+27.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed No	78c	27.19$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	68	70.6%48 W · 20 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	78c	18.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.11	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	69c	16.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No	79c	14.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.03	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event