TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes31c5,173$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.1948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No56c882.76$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No68c881.94$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.117945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No69c800$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7512534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No67c729$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5726037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No63c600$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No58c539.9$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No37c444.32$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.831181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No67c438$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes20c370.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5323357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.516336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No68c310.06$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed No67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c166.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes21c162$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No62c157.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.795244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No68c152.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.851872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4805…93efbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes45c116.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.322,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes43c99.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9925352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked No60c96.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.675352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes37c93.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3714323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No67c91.63$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.244045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed No67c90.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a9…f9edbacked Yes41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4360…fad6backed No53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes31c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Yes45c77.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fb…4651backed Yes32c74.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No66c61.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.943342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Yes36c55.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes32c51.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3418453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8a…1f78backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…a252backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa36…7d42backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f7…f0c4backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f0…3651backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d7f…9941backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+100.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes36c47.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9748…91e1backed No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ee…a180backed No66c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffee…ea6bbacked Yes32c33.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…15e5backed No65c31.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes41c27.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.828540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No68c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864f…3ae7backed No69c20.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No80c15.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1342737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.