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Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0046…568cbacked Yes14c1,062$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091b…6396backed Yes13c714.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes12c603.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4641231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eac…4e5abacked Yes13c402.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…6226backed Yes12c382$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes11c347.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d1…5407backed Yes12c239.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97a9…f9edbacked Yes12c221.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.481225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…ea2fbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes12c166.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7270…2eb9backed Yes13c154.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes17c150.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.231,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc601…8b44backed Yes14c128.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes13c111.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.539315.1%14 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e1…9c5fbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+135.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes19c90.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.274226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.