TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed No45c6,033$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.0824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes55c2,850$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.2513044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0952…a44bbacked Yes56c1,054$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.568100%8 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No43c555$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No49c555$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7914323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.69743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No47c360$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.54829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13234151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No46c300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes56c199.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No52c176.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9317652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4360…fad6backed Yes52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.156036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes48c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No53c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.362,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed No33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No39c41.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No44c38.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.797368.5%50 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6513148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.766239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x864f…3ae7backed No47c31.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No47c24.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.248540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.