TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed Yes38c2,385$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.0524037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8478…4f11backed Yes41c647.54$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.665100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No58c545.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0623357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4367…df1bbacked No2c510.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No63c499.97$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21716336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No64c218$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No28c195.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No63c175.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd402…848ebacked No64c158.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed Yes36c142.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.31872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes36c140.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcd…a764backed Yes37c138.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7270…2eb9backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes37c125$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7519818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed Yes37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No52c103.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c8…c674backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9925352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No40c87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked No64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…1a08backed Yes41c72.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bc…6b72backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b2…1d29backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes37c53.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3113044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6730241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No61c45.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.966870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c39.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes45c33.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4918053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No63c32.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe211…7cd4backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No62c27.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.864045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes41c25.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.652,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae11…2d01backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+184.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…9761backed No60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No64c17.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a1…69a1backed No64c17.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.