TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c97…fa05backed Yes70c2,260$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No29c2,192$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.6713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes74c1,219$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.2124037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No30c805$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3914323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes70c719.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No25c712.86$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c32…884dbacked Yes2c675.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e3…3239backed No28c476.44$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.031872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes73c409.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No25c307.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No33c206.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.549723.7%23 W · 74 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No48c204.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8248961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes73c200$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14525352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No31c199.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.999351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No31c165.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.173250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes70c140.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Yes71c101.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.835440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes69c99.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No27c92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1612534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No32c85.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60c0…b96dbacked Yes71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No30c84.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1c…4707backed No51c81.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a9…7311backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404114.6%6 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No28c73.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.882,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5e…2493backed Yes80c62.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.222550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No32c52.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes69c51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.198540%34 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes69c51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1914739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…cf85backed No30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked No31c48.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.775352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0188…11ecbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed No30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed No33c34.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f51…d389backed Yes71c30.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No42c29.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8717945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No40c28.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0911256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes70c26.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.759749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e40…224ebacked Yes76c26.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaf7…b963backed Yes72c20.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b71…70f7backed Yes80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes72c15.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.